Updated: May 4, 2016
This presentation can be accessed anywhere at URL: "bit.ly/EAC-002"
Endowment Advisory Committee:Β Chris Bittman, Laurence Chang*, John Ege*, John Fenley*, Mike Fries, Paul McPheeters*, Bryan Ritz and Minyoung Sohn with Mike Davis and Heather Miller as Ex Officio members
Since June 30, 2015, changes to the Endowment Investment Posture have been to become more defensive in Equities by reducing the Overweight Equity position from 70% to 60% ("Neutral").
Fixed Income is currently 25.3% of the Portfolio. Endowment remains Highly Liquid with over Half (13.2%) of the Investments held in Cash, with the remaining allocation divided 5 parts Floating-Rate Corporate Loan securities and 1 part Fixed-Rate securities.
Alternatives currently make up 15.7% of the Portfolio and is comprised of 10% Hedge Funds, 4% MLPs and 1% Gold
EAC Portfolio Votes
August 21, 2015: Committee voted to sell 5% of Leveraged Loan Exposure and designated these funds for an opportunistic energy trade later in the year
October 15, 2015: Committee voted to Increase MLP Exposure by 1%
November 11, 2015: Committee voted to Increase MLP Exposure by another 1%
February 9, 2016: Committee voted to sell 1.2% TLT (20-year Treasury Bond ETF) and hold the proceeds in cash
March 16, 2016 [Interim Meeting]: Committee voted to reduce Equity Positions by 5%, moving closer to the "Neutral" 60% target allocation to Equity, and we moved the proceeds to cash
Investment Policy Statement provides Flexibility for Portfolio Construction with wide Rebalancing Ranges for Fixed Income (0% to 30%) and Alternatives (0% to 30%) while stating a target allocation of 60% Equities, 20% Fixed Income and 20% Alternatives.
Core CPI (which excludes Food and Energy) is currently Up 2.2% (measured as of March 2016)
Target Rate of Return = CPI [2.2%] plus 5% = 7.2%Β which seems a bit daunting in the current Economic and Market Environment
CA Endowment | Asset Class Allocation
Endowment Value = $23,945,696
Q1 2016 Performance = +0.9% versus Policy Index gain of +0.3%
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As of March 31, 2016
Equities
IPS Rebalancing Range [50% to 70%] Target Allocation [60%]
As of March 31, 2016: The Endowment was weighted 59% Equities [$14,110,772] with a Focus on U.S. Equities. In Q1, CA Equity returned 1.2% and Outperformed the Policy Benchmark (MSCI ACWI IMI USD Index) return of 0.3%.
U.S. Equities
π· SPDR S&P 500 ETF
[20.6% weighting] The S&P 500 is the largest component of our Equity portfolio, and it is also the largest exposure in the Portfolio.
Q1 2016: SPY gained 1.3%
π¬
Vanguard Dividend Growth Fund
[14.4% weighting] The Vanguard Dividend Growth Fund, rated 5-stars by Morningstar, is the 2nd largest component of our Equity portfolio, and it is also the 2nd largest exposure in the Portfolio. Sub-advised by Wellington Capital Mgmt, this strategy is comprised of high-quality dividend-focused stocks. Combined with the 20% weight in the S&P 500, over 1/3rd of the CA Equity is held in the Largest U.S. Stocks.
Q1 2016: Vanguard Dividend Growth gained 2.8%, exceeding the S&P 500 return of 1.3%
Barclays iShares Russell 3000 ETF
[5.5% weighting] The Russell 3000 is a market-cap weighted index of 3,000 U.S.-listed public companies. The Russell 3000 is the Foundation for all Russell sub-indexes, including the Russell 1000 (which tracks large companies) and the Russell 2000 (which tracks small companies). The combined weightings in the S&P 500, Vanguard Dividend Growth and the Russell 3000 Index brings the total U.S. Exposure to 40% which is 2/3rd of our Equities.
Q1 2016: Russell 3000 returned 0.9% which trailed the S&P 500 return of 1.3%
πππ
International Equities
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
[6.4% weighting] Citing Morningstar, 40% of the world's investable market cap is outside of the United States. This ETF is 97% ex-U.S. And is very low fee.
This Index generates aΒ 3.22% dividend yield from 1,413 constituents with an average market cap of USD $9.2 billion. The Top 10 companies are: Nestle (1.81%) Roche Holdings (1.34%) Novartis (1.20%) Toyota Motors (1.12%) HSBC Holdings (0.94%) Samsung Electronics (0.92%) British American Tobacco (0.84%) Royal Dutch Shell (0.79%) Novo-Nordisk (0.78%) and Anheuser-Busch InBev (0.77%).
Q1 2016: VEA had a negative return of 1.8%, but the result was better than the 2.8% loss from its benchmark, FTSE Developed Markets ex. North America
Lazard International Strategic Equity
[4.4% weighting] Rated 5-stars by Morningstar, earned by high returns through the cycle with only average category risk. The Fund is a go-anywhere, multi-cap strategy (no benchmark) that uses a Fundamental Research, Bottoms-Up relative value investing approach.
Q1 2016: LISIX lost only 0.3% compared to the benchmark MSCI loss of 3.0%
Asia-Pacific and Emerging Markets
Matthews Pacific Tiger Fund
[5.4% weighting] Rated 5-stars by Morningstar, earned by high returns through the cycle with only average category risk. One issue to watch here is Investment team turnover.
Q1 2016: Strategy returned 0.3% after a very strong rebound in March
Causeway Emerging Markets Fund
[4.1% weighting] Causeway is a Fundamental Research shop, but we are invested in their Quantitive Emerging Markets strategy.
Q1 2016: CEMIX returned 4.1% but trailed the MSCI Emerging Markets index, which gained 5.7%.
FIXED INCOME
IPS Rebalancing Range [0% to 30%] Target Allocation [20%]
As of March 31, 2016: The Endowment was weighted 25% in Fixed Income with a Heavy Emphasis on Cash (zero coupon, zero duration asset) and Floating-Rate strategies. In Q1, CA Fixed Income returned 1.6%, which trailed the Barclays Aggregate return of 3.0%.
Cash
As of March 31, The Endowment held 13.2% of assets in cash, which returned 0% and underperformed the Barclays Agg return of 3.0%. The opportunity cost of this cash position was 40 bps in Q1 (relative to Agg) or 17 bps (relative to the S&P 500).
Floating Rate Strategies
[Benchmark] Credit Suisse Leveraged Loans Total Return Index gained 1.3% in Q1, which closed the price-related losses in Q4 2015. However, the Q1 return trailed that of the Barclays Agg.
Math needs to sharpened here, but even accounting for the tough 2015, Floating-Rate Income Strategies do generate the "4%" to stabilize portfolio returns. Since 2011, CS-LLT returned 20.2% over a period of 21 quarters, so approximately 1% per quarter.
BlackRock Floating Rate Income Trust
Q1 2016: BGT gained 3.6%
BlackRock / GSO Floating Rate Term Fund (Closed-End Fund)
Q1 2016: BSL gained 4.1%
BlackRock Floating Rate Income Stategies Fund (Closed-End Fund)
Q1 2016: FRA returned 2.3%
Western Asset Corporate Loan Fund (Closed-End Fund)
Q1 2016: TLI returned 1.1%
RidgeWorth Seix Floating Rate High Income Fund
Q1 2016: Fund returned 2.1%
Duration Strategies
[1.1% weighting] Investment Grade Corporate Bonds via LQD (iShares) returned 4.8% in the quarter
[1.2% weighting] Global Bonds via Templeton Global Bond Fund returned 0.1% in Q1 2016 and severely lagged the Benchmark return of 7%.
Alternatives
IPS Rebalancing Range [0% to 30%] Target Allocation [20%]
As of March 31, 2016: The Endowment was weighted 15.7% in Alternatives with Legacy Positions in BlackRock Strategic Partners (8.9%) and Silver Creek strategies (combined 1.5% in two funds). In 2H 2015, Committee voted to place New Risk Positions in MLPs [4.0%] and Gold [1.4%].
Hedge Funds
Note: The HFRI Fund of Funds Composite Index lost 2.8% in Q1. This Hedge Fund Index also lost 0.2% in 2015. Ending March 31st 2016, the 3-year return for HRFI Fund of Funds Composite Index is 1.9%.The 5-year return is 1.3%. The 10-year return is 1.5%.
Q-BLK [BlackRock] Strategic Partners Fund (8.9% position in the Endowment)Β lost 1.4% in Q1, which was better than the 2.8% loss in Hedge Funds Index. This Fund also lost -0.2% in 2015, a year in which SPY gained 1.3%.
Silver Creek Low Volatility Strategy (1.3% position) lost 2.3% in Q1 - on top of a 2.3% loss in 2015.
Silver Creek Long/Short (0.2% position) lost 2.6% in Q1 - on top of a -2.5% loss in 2015.
MLPs
Note: In 2H 2015, under the guidance and expertise of Paul McPheeters and Bryan Ritz, Committee voted to take new Risk by establishing positions in the beaten-down MLP sector.
Q1 2016: The JP Morgan vehicle lost 4.5% in the quarter. The UBS vehicle lost 6.0%.
March 2016: Both MLP exposures advanced better than 8%
Gold